Appeal to Probability – The unreliable assumption that because something can happen, it will.  Often used in scenarios where one greatly downplays the odds of failure, or unrealistically increases the odds of something happening.

Example.  Somebody has to win the lottery. Even if every ticket combination is purchased by an individual, the odds of winning do not increase for any individual without the purchase of additional tickets.

Argument from Fallacy – The inference that a conclusion is false because the premise is false.

Example. Hot Dogs only taste good if they are blue. Hot dogs are not blue. Therefore hot dogs do not taste good. An obviously incorrect argument for many a baseball fan.
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